Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.002264 0.002394 0.002532 0.002690 0.002868 0.003062 0.003292
2025-02-23 0.002113 0.002300 0.002509 0.002764 0.003071 0.003435 0.003909
2025-03-02 0.001954 0.002168 0.002416 0.002732 0.003134 0.003641 0.004359
2025-03-09 0.001819 0.002046 0.002316 0.002672 0.003143 0.003770 0.004722
2025-03-16 0.001761 0.002007 0.002310 0.002722 0.003293 0.004100 0.005434
2025-03-23 0.001708 0.001969 0.002298 0.002759 0.003424 0.004420 0.006219
2025-03-30 0.001637 0.001903 0.002243 0.002730 0.003455 0.004589 0.006793
2025-04-06 0.001559 0.001822 0.002162 0.002657 0.003410 0.004625 0.007121
2025-04-13 0.001504 0.001768 0.002113 0.002624 0.003420 0.004752 0.007679
2025-04-20 0.001418 0.001669 0.001998 0.002487 0.003253 0.004548 0.007439
2025-04-27 0.001384 0.001638 0.001975 0.002484 0.003301 0.004733 0.008179
2025-05-04 0.001374 0.001639 0.001995 0.002546 0.003459 0.005154 0.009742
2025-05-11 0.001344 0.001612 0.001978 0.002554 0.003534 0.005443 0.011221
2025-05-18 0.001332 0.001611 0.001997 0.002620 0.003723 0.006026 0.014399
2025-05-25 0.001295 0.001572 0.001959 0.002591 0.003733 0.006211 0.016301
2025-06-01 0.001253 0.001525 0.001907 0.002536 0.003688 0.006255 0.017620
2025-06-08 0.001241 0.001519 0.001916 0.002581 0.003843 0.006851 0.023910
2025-06-15 0.001226 0.001509 0.001917 0.002615 0.003980 0.007454 0.034134
2025-06-22 0.001198 0.001478 0.001886 0.002589 0.003988 0.007687 0.042884
2025-06-29 0.001162 0.001435 0.001834 0.002523 0.003903 0.007603 0.046114
2025-07-06 0.001136 0.001406 0.001802 0.002493 0.003894 0.007769 0.058593
2025-07-13 0.001089 0.001346 0.001720 0.002368 0.003667 0.007162 0.044379
2025-07-20 0.001073 0.001329 0.001706 0.002365 0.003711 0.007489 0.063689